Publications

HLT: Last Minute Roll

Hilton’s stock price has dropped this afternoon and a last-minute roll is prudent…. Read More

PANW: A Lonely Roll

One roll today. We also have the other PANW trade expiring for a profit, along with ServiceNow (NOW)…. Read More

MU, RTX: Rate Cut Rolls

Bearish hedges usually work in September, but rate-cut euphoria is turning these hedges upside down and rolls are needed. I’ll monitor HLT and issue a roll alert later this afternoon if necessary…. Read More

DHR: One More

This laggard stock has good long-term potential, but needs more time to shine…. Read More

EFX, TSLA: Bear Scat Rolls

With the stock market excited about a Federal Reserve rate cut next week, these two bearish/neutral positions need to be rolled higher…. Read More

FANG, MSFT: Oily Outlook

Interest rate cuts start next week at the Federal Reserve and both the energy and software sectors tend to outperform in low-rate environments, provided that the U.S. economy remains in growth mode…. Read More

SPX: 0DTE Volatility Trade

Iron Condor on S&P 500 Index Security Root Symbol: SPX Expiration Date: Tuesday, September 9th Strategy Overview: Buy to Open: $6410 Put Sell to Open: $6480 Put Buy to Open: $6580 Call Sell to Open: $6510 Call Option Symbols: SPXW250909P6410 and SPXW250909P6480 and SPXW250909C6510 and SPXW250909C6580 Order Details: Limit Order Price: Net credit of $12.00 […]… Read More

MSCI, TSLA: Auto Indexing

Bearish September seasonality combined with bullish anticipation over a Federal Reserve rate cut combine to create uncertainty, leading me to hedge my bets with both bullish and bearish trade ideas…. Read More

ARES, MELI, CTEV: Bearish Business Blackout

Into the week, markets face key macro prints with U.S. PPI (Wed, Sept 10, 8:30 a.m. ET) and CPI for August (Thu, Sept 11, 8:30 a.m. ET), which will reset rate-cut odds ahead of the Sept 16–17 FOMC; Friday’s jobs report showed just +22k payrolls and 4.3% unemployment, keeping cuts in play. The ECB holds its policy meeting Sept 10–11 with a decision/press conference Thursday. Corporate catalysts include Oracle (Tue, Sept 9 after close), GameStop (Tue, Sept 9 after close) and Adobe (Thu, Sept 11 after close), while Apple’s iPhone event lands Tue, Sept 9; preliminary University of Michigan sentiment follows Fri, Sept 12 (10 a.m. ET). Expect rate-sensitive sectors to swing around the Wed–Thu data window and sentiment to color Friday’s close…. Read More

AIG, EFX, SPX: Mostly Bearish

With historically bearish months of September and October straight ahead, it makes sense to add some bearish hedges, but the Federal Reserve’s likely rate cut on September 17th may keep the bears away…. Read More