Publications

FDX, MCD: Won’t Go Down

Stocks that usually decline in late August are, well, not declining so rolls are needed…. Read More

AKAM, BSX: As and Bs

With stocks moving higher so far in August for the fourth straight month, the bull party should continue for the last few days of the month. Medical device and Internet tech stocks should be upward leaders. Let’s hope Nvidia’s earnings on Wednesday afternoon don’t ruin the fun for everyone…. Read More

NOW, LDOS: Workflow Warfare

Markets begin this week on a cautiously optimistic note—buoyed by Fed Chair Powell’s dovish tone from Jackson Hole that lifted U.S. equities to fresh highs—and now shift focus to a clutch of critical developments. All eyes are on Nvidia’s earnings (after market close on Wednesday, August 27), a closely watched test for the AI-driven tech rally amid valuation concerns and easing export tensions. Analysts expect revenue around $46 billion (up ~53%), with EPS near $1.00. Equally pivotal is the July PCE inflation report (Friday), the Fed’s preferred gauge, which will heavily influence rate‑cut expectations heading into September. Alongside these macro drivers, markets will digest a slew of housing, durable goods, consumer sentiment, GDP revision, and retailer earnings (from names like Best Buy, Ulta, Dollar General, Alibaba) that could point to the resiliency—or cracks—in the consumer backdrop… Read More

DAL, IBKR, SNPS: August Blues

Seasonality is not working well during this notoriously fickle month of August, so three rolls are needed…. Read More

CDW, CHTR, JNJ: Early Rolls

Getting an early start rolling three positions expiring in September…. Read More

Consistency, Confidence, and Profits: Lessons from 75 SPX Day Trades

A quick look at the 0DTE SPX trades…. Read More

DGX, PSX: Testing Refinements

I’m going bearish on an overvalued diagnostic healthcare stock and bullish on a cheap energy refiner…. Read More

SPX: 0DTE Volatility Trade

0DTE iron condors are directionally-neutral trades that focus on harvesting options’ time-value decay, which accelerates as options approach their expiration. We want to sell time value before it decays and buy it back after it decays…. Read More

FDX, NTAP: Soft Data Deliveries

The stock market has historically performed poorly between mid-August and mid-October, especially in post-election years, so I’m continuing to hedge bets between strong tech stocks and underperforming cyclicals…. Read More

PH, KMB: Wiped with Pressure

Stocks kick off the week cautious with three big catalysts on deck: (1) retail bellwethers—Home Depot (Tue 8/19 BMO), Target (Wed 8/20 BMO), and Walmart (Thu 8/21, 6:00 a.m. CT)—will give the cleanest read on the U.S. consumer and tariff pass-through; (2) July FOMC minutes arrive Wednesday as futures still price high odds of a September cut; and (3) Powell’s Jackson Hole address Friday (theme: “Labor Markets in Transition”) could reset the path for rates and risk. Geopolitics is a swing factor as Washington hosts talks with Zelensky and EU leaders. Bottom line: expect event-driven chop with IV supported into mid-week and a directional push post-Powell—keep position sizes modest, stay nimble in rate-sensitive sectors, and note that NVDA’s 8/27 print looms for AI sentiment…. Read More