Publications

QQQ: Technical Malfunction

A rate cut and tech stocks continuing to report good news makes it hard for bearish trades to work out, so a roll is needed…. Read More

STLD, AVGO, THC: Buy Stock, Sell Put Option, Buy Call Option + BONUS

This month’s trade lineup is firmly grounded in seasonal strength and weakness. We’re taking bullish positions in Steel Dynamics (STLD) and Broadcom (AVGO), both of which have a history of delivering strong performance during this stretch of the calendar year. On the flip side, Tenet Healthcare (THC) consistently shows seasonal weakness in this same period, making it a timely candidate for a bearish trade. … Read More

CZR, HAL, ILMN, STZ, UPS: Covered Call Rolls

Adding covered calls to generate additional income and reduce our cost basis in five long-term holdings…. Read More

DE, IWM: Small Farms

Last week’s Federal Reserve rate cut is bullish but seasonality is bearish, so we must play both sides of these conflicting forces…. Read More

THC, NUE: Scrubbed and Smelted

The market enters the new week riding optimism after the Fed’s recent 25-bps rate cut to 4.00-4.25%—its first since December 2024—which signaled that policymakers see growing downside risks in employment while still keeping inflation concerns alive. Key upcoming data points—August PCE inflation (Fed’s preferred gauge), the final Michigan consumer sentiment report, jobless claims, durable goods, and GDP revisions—will be scrutinized for clues on when additional easing might be credible. Inflation is showing signs of easing: core PCE inflation is expected to rise modestly (month-over-month ~0.2%) but remain stubborn on a year-over-year basis. With yields creeping higher (especially on the long end), the cost of “pedal-down” positions is rising, so the bias seems tilted toward holding selective exposure (rate-sensitive sectors, quality growth) over broad risk. Support levels remain important—should yields break out, even marginally, it could trigger a re-pricing of growth stocks…. Read More

MPWR, NEE, NSC, TMO: Rolls Three of Three

This is our last set of rolls. We also have four trades expiring for profits: Amazon.com (AMZN), Analog Devices (ADI), BioNTech (BNTX), and Costco (COST). Have a great weekend!… Read More

ADM, DHR, HSY, LVS, MOS: Closeout and Rolls

Closing out ADM for a 23.0% profit and rolling four other positions. In addition, there are four expiring winners, including two double-your-money jackpots: MSCI (100.0%), TSLA (100.0%), BIIB (67.6%), CAH (29.4%) … Read More

DLTR, KLAC, MSCI, MLM, MDLZ: Rolls Two of Three

Part 2 of our set of three rolls. … Read More

BAH, CDW, COF, CE, COP: Rolls One of Three

Five rolls to kick off September expiration month. More to come soon!… Read More

BSX, CALM, KMX: Three to Go

Three rolls and six expiring winners: CBOE (49.3%), VXX (44.1%), ACGL (42.9%), HD (35.1%), SWKS (26.3%), and UVXY (22.5%)… Read More