Publications

MDT, MAR: Two Ways to Spend the Night

Markets enter the week digesting the Federal Reserve’s first rate increase since 2023, which lifted the federal-funds target range by 25 basis points to **3.75%–4.00%**, while attention now shifts toward economic growth and U.S.-China trade relations. Wednesday’s **September flash manufacturing and services PMIs** will provide an early look at business activity, followed Thursday by **new-home sales** and Friday’s **durable-goods orders and final University of Michigan consumer sentiment reading**. Thursday could carry additional market significance as **President Donald Trump hosts Chinese President Xi Jinping in Washington**, with trade, tariffs, technology restrictions, AI, and critical-mineral supply chains expected to feature in the discussions. Earnings are lighter but still noteworthy, with **AutoZone Tuesday, General Mills Wednesday, and Costco Thursday**, offering fresh reads on auto-related spending, packaged-food demand, and the broader consumer. With the Fed decision now behind us, this week’s combination of **growth data, consumer signals, and U.S.-China trade developments** could determine whether recent market resilience holds as investors reassess the outlook for rates and economic activity…. Read More

AMT: Lonesome Dove Roll

This cellphone tower operator was trading substantially below our short 175 strike in morning trading, but unfortunately has risen since and is now hovering on either side of the short 175 strike so a last-minute roll is needed. Safety first. In addition, three expiring winners: TSLA (92.3%), CRWD (17.4%), and CRL 12.4%)…. Read More

CMG, ICE, KKR, MOS, MU, UBER: Roll on Down the Highway

Six rolls now and maybe AMT before market close…. Read More

AWK, GME, PBR, SAP, SYY, TEAM: September Rolls

Six rolls and seven expiring winners: APH (62.9%), CBOE (51.5%), APO (42.9%), JPM (42.9%), BR (33.3%), PANW (30.7%), and RMD (28.2%)… Read More

XLU: September Rolls Part 4

**September Rolls, Part 4**

As mentioned in the excerpt from September Rolls, Part 1, these trades are being published before the market opens, so there may be a few last-minute updates depending on how the market moves.

Last, but not least we have four trades expiring for profits: APO, GNRC, NUE and PANW.

If you don’t hear anything further from us today, have a great weekend, and we’ll see you back here on Monday…. Read More

NSC, ORLY, PGR, RSG, TMO: September Rolls Part 3

**September Rolls, Part 3**… Read More

DPZ, FDX, KKR, KLAC, MDLZ: September Rolls Part 2

**September Rolls, Part 2**… Read More

AVGO, CDW, STZ, CEG, DECK: September Rolls Part 1

Since we have a lot of rolls for September expiration, I’m publishing them all before the market opens. However, depending on what the market does, there may be a few end of day adjustments…. Read More

CEG, LOW: Energy Builder

Interest-rate and inflation-sensitive utilities and home improvement stores are struggling right now, so more time is needed for these positions to thrive…. Read More

PH, W: The Hydraulic Throw Pillow

A diversified industrial motion-and-control supplier is positioned for continued upside from robust aerospace demand, broadening industrial recovery, and record backlogs. Meanwhile, an online home-furnishings retailer faces ongoing headwinds from soft discretionary consumer spending on big-ticket items, and intense competition…. Read More